TAXPAYERS UNION POLL: centre-right could still form a government

By the Taxpayers Union.

The latest Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll shows the Government Coalition once again able to form a Government, despite net country direction falling ten points.

The poll, conducted between 30 April and 04 May shows National gain 1.1 points on last month to 34.6 percent, while Labour jump 3.4 points to 33.2 percent.

ACT is down 0.5 points to 9.5 percent, whilst the Greens are down 1.9 points to 9.1 percent. New Zealand First remains unchanged on 7.4 percent, while Te Pāti Māori is down 0.4 points to 3.9 percent.

For the minor parties, TOP is on 0.5 percent (-1.0 point), Outdoors and Freedom is on 0.4 percent (-0.6 points), and Vision NZ is on 0.4 percent (+0.4 points).

The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right of 63 is down 1 seat from last month. The combined seats for the Centre-Left is up 1 seat to 58. On these numbers, the Centre-Right bloc could form a Government.

National remains on 42 seats again this month, whilst Labour is up 4 seats to 41. ACT is down 1 seat to 12, whilst the Greens are down 3 seats to 11. New Zealand First remains on 9 seats, while Te Pāti Māori remains on 6.

With 33.3 percent (-8.5 points) saying the country is headed in the right direction and 46.0 percent (+1.8 points) in the wrong direction, net country direction has fallen 10.3 points this month to -12.7 percent.

Christopher Luxon is up from last month to 21.9% (+1.6 points) while Chris Hipkins is down 1.8 points to 18.9%.

Winston Peters is at 12.8% (+4.2 points). This is the first time Peters has polled over 10% as Preferred PM in our poll.

David Seymour is at 8.0% (+3.0 points) and Chlöe Swarbrick at 4.2% (-0.6 points).

Commenting on the results, Taxpayers’ Union Spokesman James Ross said:

“The same week the Hīkoi to Balance the Budget showed Government debt blow past $190 billion, net country direction dropped more than ten percent. If that’s not a sign Kiwis want Nicola to balance the books, what is?”

“With each household’s share of the debt at $93,500 and counting, Kiwis can’t look the other way until the Government get their fiscal ducks in a row.”

“Across the ditch, another centre-right party just blew their election chances by failing to present a credible fiscal plan. If National doesn’t get serious about fixing the books, the risk is the same here.

“Budget 2025 is only a fortnight away. Nicola Willis needs to give Kiwis what they need and finally put the debt clock into reverse.”

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